Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.218404 0.252296 0.289530 0.333449 0.383816 0.439751 0.506568
2024-10-20 0.167773 0.212416 0.265903 0.334613 0.420457 0.524092 0.658650
2024-10-27 0.126635 0.174416 0.236387 0.322440 0.438641 0.589903 0.801588
2024-11-03 0.104128 0.154967 0.225879 0.331611 0.484843 0.698397 1.018182
2024-11-10 0.087579 0.140035 0.218289 0.342866 0.535500 0.821226 1.276274
2024-11-17 0.071911 0.122986 0.204123 0.341423 0.566906 0.921202 1.518455
2024-11-24 0.059539 0.108453 0.190854 0.338462 0.594805 1.019656 1.774413
2024-12-01 0.050111 0.096842 0.180015 0.337138 0.624573 1.125113 2.058556
2024-12-08 0.042928 0.087712 0.171643 0.338289 0.658318 1.241881 2.380345
2024-12-15 0.037895 0.081587 0.167529 0.346301 0.705519 1.389197 2.779952
2024-12-22 0.032670 0.073974 0.159086 0.344219 0.732686 1.502861 3.133240
2024-12-29 0.029266 0.069482 0.156052 0.352400 0.781414 1.664978 3.605996
2025-01-05 0.025141 0.062643 0.147032 0.346733 0.801313 1.774211 3.992794
2025-01-12 0.022458 0.058595 0.143418 0.352397 0.846911 1.944403 4.536821
2025-01-19 0.019194 0.052433 0.133806 0.342484 0.855651 2.036214 4.923607
2025-01-26 0.017618 0.050230 0.133247 0.354195 0.917210 2.256099 5.637375
2025-02-02 0.016297 0.048422 0.133339 0.367565 0.985150 2.501214 6.449174
2025-02-09 0.014503 0.044911 0.128370 0.366932 1.017714 2.666503 7.092765
2025-02-16 0.012872 0.041508 0.123045 0.364358 1.044791 2.822361 7.737259
2025-02-23 0.011513 0.038612 0.118575 0.363335 1.075913 2.993319 8.447707
2025-03-02 0.010404 0.036252 0.115198 0.364839 1.114396 3.189539 9.256194
2025-03-09 0.009636 0.034821 0.114323 0.373643 1.175457 3.456130 10.298821
2025-03-16 0.008658 0.032460 0.110133 0.371521 1.203906 3.636585 11.127287